Post by Andrew - Resident Gator on Oct 26, 2008 16:46:15 GMT -5
Well, as I (and many others) predicted the UGA vs UF game has never been bigger than it will be this weekend. Both teams are tied for the SECE and this will more then likely determine the winner of the East. The winner should undoubtedly play Alabama in the SECCG, and could propel that team to the NC. Time to look between the numbers.
Raw Statistics
Florida 6-1 (4-1) #19-SOS
Total Offense #31 - 410YPG
Rushing #21 - 196YPG
Passing #61 - 214YPG
Scoring #7 - 42PPG
Total Defense #13 - 273YPG
Rushing #15 - 102YPG
Passing #17 - 170YPG
Scoring #6 - 12PPG
Georgia 7-1 (4-1) #1-SOS
Total Offense #25 - 431YPG
Rushing #39 - 172YPG
Passing #23 - 258YPG
Scoring #24 - 34PPG
Total Defense #21 - 298YPG
Rushing #6 - 77YPG
Passing #77 - 221YPG
Scoring #36 - 20PPG
From those, we can determine, the offense is about a draw, and Florida has the clear edge on defense. Georgia plays a more Pro style offense, where as Florida plays a variation of the spread offense.
Lets look at two common opponents Tennessee and LSU:
Florida vs Tennessee
Total Offense 243yards
Rushing 147yards
Passing 96yards
Points 30 (2Offensive TD, 3FG, 1Special Team TD)
Total Defense 258yards
Rushing 96yards
Passing 162yards
Points 6 (2FG)
Georgia vs Tennessee
Total Offense 458yards
Rushing 148yards
Passing 310yards
Points 26 (2Offensive TD, 4FG)
Total Defense 209yards
Rushing 1yards
Passing 208yards
Points 14 (2Offensive TD)
Note: Stafford 2INT, Tebow 0INT. UF forced 3 Turnovers, UGA forced 0.
Against Tennessee, Georgia had a much better offensive performance than Florida did, but keep in mind, Florida with it's great special teams play all game, was setting up inside Tennessee territory on their scoring drives. A lot of short field situations for the Gators. The rushing statistic for Georgia is a little skewed, since their #1 and #2 RB's combined for only 9 touches. Different game plans for different teams. I give Georgia a nod for offense in this game, but I give the Gators defense and special teams a nod against Tennessee.
Here is a more telling story against LSU:
Florida vs LSU
Total Offense 475yards
Rushing 265yards
Passing 210yards
Points 51 (5Offensive TD, 1Defensive TD, 2FG)
Total Defense 321yards
Rushing 80yards
Passing 241yards
Points 21 (3Offensive TD)
Georgia vs LSU
Total Offense 443yards
Rushing 194yards
Passing 249yards
Points 52 (5Offensive TD, 2 Defensive TD, 1FG)
Total Defense 497yards
Rushing 188yards
Passing 309yards
Points 38 (5Offensicve TD, 1FG)
Notes: UF 2 Punts, UGA 5 Punts. Both forced 3 Turnovers. UF Pulled starters in 4th Quarter. 22/16 First downs in Favor of UF. 10/9.6 Passing YPG in favor of UF, 6.5/5.4 Rushing YPG in favor of UF. Florida punted twice, Georgia punted 5 times.
The LSU game is a real barometer for who is the better team overall. I gave the score a draw, but Florida was clearly better on offensive, less stalled drives, higher percentages and YPG. And Florida was head and shoulders better in the defensive department against LSU, holding Charles Scott to 35yards, while Georgia allowed Scott to run for 144 (difference of 109 more yards). The Georgia defense also allowed a bad QB to throw much more against them than Florida.
There is no doubt that both offenses are good. Matthew Stafford has a great arm and Florida pass coverage hasn't seen anything like it. Stafford is also very elusive, and surprisingly light on his feet. He can scramble for the 1st down, if needed. Georgia's offensive line, no matter how well they did against LSU (LSU's Defensive line is very overrated) is still young, and will face a deeper, and much faster defensive line against Florida. Georgia has big, physical wide receivers, that will pose problems for Florida small, but speedy defensive backs. Georgia has Moreno, but Florida is known for shutting down feature backs with this defense. Georgia has very athletic and rangy Linebackers, that can stretch the field and catch our speedsters to the edge.
On the other side, Florida has a dual threat in Tim Tebow, who is still more than capable of making the deep throws. A house full of sub 4.4 runners in the backfield who can go to the endzone on any touch. Florida has a much more mature Defense, more notedly, defensive line, which is what Moreno exploited last year in his coming out party. The secondary is talented but still untested against a quarterback to Staffords caliber. Florida has speedy physical wide receivers. Florida has the better offensive lines in the SEC (2nd in rushing only behind Alabama), and only giving up 10 sacks all season.
Keys to the game, Turnovers and Special Teams... the Gators rank 3rd in the Nation in turnover margin, with 16 takeaways with only 6 turnovers, whereas Georgia rank 46 with 11 takeaways with 8 turnovers. Georgia will have to take care of the football against a very opportunistic Florida defense.
The other wildcard is Florida special teams. There is not a team in the nation with better special team play than the Gators. Brandon James (ranked 5thPR, 11thKR) who has had 4 Career Punt return TD's, 2 this season, is a deadly weapon. He is averaging over 20yards per return, and can take it to the house on any punt, against anybody.
Score? Who knows... I'll go with my prediction in my other thread... 42-41 Gators. But I have no idea what the game is going to look like. The Gators have a chip on their shoulder from last year, Georgia hasn't won 2 in a row since 1988. It's going to be nasty, penalties everywhere, and possibly a fight... We will see though.
I'm going to start throwing up now. Okay cool.
Discuss.
Raw Statistics
Florida 6-1 (4-1) #19-SOS
Total Offense #31 - 410YPG
Rushing #21 - 196YPG
Passing #61 - 214YPG
Scoring #7 - 42PPG
Total Defense #13 - 273YPG
Rushing #15 - 102YPG
Passing #17 - 170YPG
Scoring #6 - 12PPG
Georgia 7-1 (4-1) #1-SOS
Total Offense #25 - 431YPG
Rushing #39 - 172YPG
Passing #23 - 258YPG
Scoring #24 - 34PPG
Total Defense #21 - 298YPG
Rushing #6 - 77YPG
Passing #77 - 221YPG
Scoring #36 - 20PPG
From those, we can determine, the offense is about a draw, and Florida has the clear edge on defense. Georgia plays a more Pro style offense, where as Florida plays a variation of the spread offense.
Lets look at two common opponents Tennessee and LSU:
Florida vs Tennessee
Total Offense 243yards
Rushing 147yards
Passing 96yards
Points 30 (2Offensive TD, 3FG, 1Special Team TD)
Total Defense 258yards
Rushing 96yards
Passing 162yards
Points 6 (2FG)
Georgia vs Tennessee
Total Offense 458yards
Rushing 148yards
Passing 310yards
Points 26 (2Offensive TD, 4FG)
Total Defense 209yards
Rushing 1yards
Passing 208yards
Points 14 (2Offensive TD)
Note: Stafford 2INT, Tebow 0INT. UF forced 3 Turnovers, UGA forced 0.
Against Tennessee, Georgia had a much better offensive performance than Florida did, but keep in mind, Florida with it's great special teams play all game, was setting up inside Tennessee territory on their scoring drives. A lot of short field situations for the Gators. The rushing statistic for Georgia is a little skewed, since their #1 and #2 RB's combined for only 9 touches. Different game plans for different teams. I give Georgia a nod for offense in this game, but I give the Gators defense and special teams a nod against Tennessee.
Here is a more telling story against LSU:
Florida vs LSU
Total Offense 475yards
Rushing 265yards
Passing 210yards
Points 51 (5Offensive TD, 1Defensive TD, 2FG)
Total Defense 321yards
Rushing 80yards
Passing 241yards
Points 21 (3Offensive TD)
Georgia vs LSU
Total Offense 443yards
Rushing 194yards
Passing 249yards
Points 52 (5Offensive TD, 2 Defensive TD, 1FG)
Total Defense 497yards
Rushing 188yards
Passing 309yards
Points 38 (5Offensicve TD, 1FG)
Notes: UF 2 Punts, UGA 5 Punts. Both forced 3 Turnovers. UF Pulled starters in 4th Quarter. 22/16 First downs in Favor of UF. 10/9.6 Passing YPG in favor of UF, 6.5/5.4 Rushing YPG in favor of UF. Florida punted twice, Georgia punted 5 times.
The LSU game is a real barometer for who is the better team overall. I gave the score a draw, but Florida was clearly better on offensive, less stalled drives, higher percentages and YPG. And Florida was head and shoulders better in the defensive department against LSU, holding Charles Scott to 35yards, while Georgia allowed Scott to run for 144 (difference of 109 more yards). The Georgia defense also allowed a bad QB to throw much more against them than Florida.
There is no doubt that both offenses are good. Matthew Stafford has a great arm and Florida pass coverage hasn't seen anything like it. Stafford is also very elusive, and surprisingly light on his feet. He can scramble for the 1st down, if needed. Georgia's offensive line, no matter how well they did against LSU (LSU's Defensive line is very overrated) is still young, and will face a deeper, and much faster defensive line against Florida. Georgia has big, physical wide receivers, that will pose problems for Florida small, but speedy defensive backs. Georgia has Moreno, but Florida is known for shutting down feature backs with this defense. Georgia has very athletic and rangy Linebackers, that can stretch the field and catch our speedsters to the edge.
On the other side, Florida has a dual threat in Tim Tebow, who is still more than capable of making the deep throws. A house full of sub 4.4 runners in the backfield who can go to the endzone on any touch. Florida has a much more mature Defense, more notedly, defensive line, which is what Moreno exploited last year in his coming out party. The secondary is talented but still untested against a quarterback to Staffords caliber. Florida has speedy physical wide receivers. Florida has the better offensive lines in the SEC (2nd in rushing only behind Alabama), and only giving up 10 sacks all season.
Keys to the game, Turnovers and Special Teams... the Gators rank 3rd in the Nation in turnover margin, with 16 takeaways with only 6 turnovers, whereas Georgia rank 46 with 11 takeaways with 8 turnovers. Georgia will have to take care of the football against a very opportunistic Florida defense.
The other wildcard is Florida special teams. There is not a team in the nation with better special team play than the Gators. Brandon James (ranked 5thPR, 11thKR) who has had 4 Career Punt return TD's, 2 this season, is a deadly weapon. He is averaging over 20yards per return, and can take it to the house on any punt, against anybody.
Score? Who knows... I'll go with my prediction in my other thread... 42-41 Gators. But I have no idea what the game is going to look like. The Gators have a chip on their shoulder from last year, Georgia hasn't won 2 in a row since 1988. It's going to be nasty, penalties everywhere, and possibly a fight... We will see though.
I'm going to start throwing up now. Okay cool.
Discuss.
